PONARS Eurasia 28 Jul 2016
(Washington Post) Russian President Vladimir Putin repeatedly accused Hillary Clinton when she was secretary of state of interfering in Moscow’s affairs — and if Russian security was behind last week’s release through WikiLeaks of the hacked Democratic National Committee emails, it would look a lot like Kremlin payback. Even if the breach was carried out by a mid-level intelligence official acting on his own initiative, hoping to please his...
PONARS Eurasia 28 Jul 2016
(NBC) If the theft of 20,000 emails from the Democratic National Committee caused political shockwaves in the U.S., allegations that Moscow was behind the hack have barely registered a ripple back in Russia.  Many U.S. officials and cyber security experts in and out of government are convinced state-sponsored Russian hackers were behind the leak.  President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly denied involvement, with his spokesman Dmitry Peskov...
Pavel K. Baev 26 Jul 2016
(EDM) President Vladimir Putin is not taking a summer vacation. He has instead maintained a busy schedule of meetings with government officials and regional governors. But his grip on the steering wheel of Russia’s foreign and domestic policy is far from steady. The heavily censored Russian TV footage still portrays him as strong and confident, yet Putin’s public statements increasingly sound odd—like his point about a “certain positive and...
Samuel Greene 25 Jul 2016
It’s hard to ignore Paul Krugman. Leading lights of the neo-con foreign policy establishment – people like Anders Aslund and Anne Applebaum – are doing double-takes as they find themselves re-tweeting a recent column by the left-wing economist, in which Krugman wonders aloud whether Donald Trump might be working for Vladimir Putin. To be fair, Krugman doesn’t actually say that Trump is an agent of the Kremlin. Instead, he points out the ways in...
Serhiy Kudelia 25 Jul 2016
(oDR) At a press conference in early June, president Petro Poroshenko sought to reassure the Ukrainian and foreign media: “I give you my personal guarantee: there are no threats to journalists working in Ukraine.” This statement followed the disclosure of private information about thousands of journalists accused of collaborating with “terrorists” in eastern Ukraine on a website controlled by Anton Herashchenko, a Ukrainian MP and advisor to...
Nigel Gould-Davies 20 Jul 2016
Economic problems are once again at the center of debates about Russia’s future. For the first time under the Putin presidency, the country faces a protracted decline in living standards. This will have important implications for domestic cohesion, and perhaps for the capacity to sustain a strongly assertive foreign policy. One important cause of these problems is Russia’s distinctive, ambitious, but failed strategy of globalization. The...
Dmitry Gorenburg 20 Jul 2016
In April 2016, I published a short article in the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief discussing the role of Russia's Black Sea Fleet post-Crimea annexation. Here’s the text, as usual with no edits other than restoring some cuts made for space reasons. Subject: The growing power of the Russian navy in the Black Sea region. Significance: Russia's annexation of Crimea has reshaped the geopolitical environment in the Black Sea and its neighbourhood. New...
Joshua Tucker 20 Jul 2016
(Washington Post) On Friday, I received an alert on my phone that a coup attempt was underway in Turkey. Rather than turn on the TV — or even open the app of the newspaper that sent me the alert — I went directly to Twitter. What I found was an incredible source of real-time information on the coup as it unfolded. I had access to multiple news sources, statements from elites in both Turkey and outside, on-the-ground commentary from academics I...

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