Posts by Arkady Moshes

Arkady Moshes 10-03-2018
Хотя о смягчении западных санкций против России в ближайшее время речи не идет, есть тенденции, указывающие на возможность этого в дальнейшем. Кремль активно работает над сплочением своих сторонников в Евросоюзе, политика Трампа подталкивает ЕС к России. А дипломатия Украины оказалась недостаточно мощной, чтобы создать четкий «проукраинский фронт», говорят эксперты. Возможность смягчения санкций, внедренных за аннексию Крыма и гибридную дестабилизацию...
Arkady Moshes 09-25-2018
Россия не собирается нападать ни на Прибалтику, ни на Финляндию. Так финский лидер Саули Нийнисте объяснил, почему страна не собирается вступать в НАТО […] Причины нежелания Финляндии вступать в НАТО связаны с историческим опытом, отмечал в разговоре с Baltnews.ee директор исследовательской программы по Восточному Соседству ЕС и по России Финского института международных отношений Аркадий Мошес. "Это неверие в возможности получения и осуществления...
Arkady Moshes 05-16-2018
(FIIA) Russia’s re-elected president speaks about the need to achieve a “breakthrough”. But his only realistic goal is perpetuation of the regime. Those who watched Vladimir Putin’s inauguration ceremony on May 7 must have paid attention to the TV cameras’ preoccupation with two people on the front row: Dmitry Medvedev, the longest-serving Prime Minister of post-Soviet Russia, and former German Chancellor Gerhard Schröder. The first figure symbolized the...
Tags:
Arkady Moshes 03-13-2018
(FIIA) The “Revolution of Dignity” led to a considerable decrease in Russian economic, political and soft power influence over Ukraine. Yet the process did not turn out to be self-sustainable. Insufficient reforms and the predatory behaviour of old elites negatively affect the prospects for change in general and the emergence of a new model in Russian-Ukrainian relations in particular. Russia may exploit opaque schemes to gradually regain some of its lost...
Arkady Moshes 01-23-2018
(FIIA) Voters will give Vladimir Putin the mandate to continue great power politics. This does not augur well for any deconfliction between Russia and the West. The outcome of the Russian presidential race is a foregone conclusion. Vladimir Putin will extend his stay in power for another term. But the details of the process, and the differences from past elections are nevertheless worth following as they reveal the inner logic of Russia’s current...
Arkady Moshes 08-08-2017
Главная цель визита Путина - поздравить Суоми со столетием независимости. Финские СМИ утверждают, что официальными темами встречи президента России Владимира Путина и его коллеги Саули Ниинистё, намеченной на 27 июля, заявлены «двусторонние отношения и актуальные международные вопросы». Переговоры Путина и Ниинистё пройдут в кабинете государственного отеля Пункахарью. На деле речь пойдёт, прежде всего, о торговых отношениях и военной ситуации в Балтийском...
Arkady Moshes 05-15-2017
(FIIA) An explicit “deal” between the West and Russia on Ukraine is not possible. Europe would like to reach a more pragmatic modus vivendi with Moscow, but a sustainable freezing of the conflict in Donbas remains a critical minimum precondition.  The military phase of the conflict in Ukraine’s Donbas started three years ago, in May 2014. Throughout this period, observers have discussed whether or not the West would eventually go for an agreement with the...
Arkady Moshes 02-28-2017
(GEURASIA) Before the Ukraine crisis, the ruling regime in Minsk enjoyed a rather comfortable foreign policy position vis-à-vis Moscow. On the one hand, Belarus declared itself Russia’s closest ally, a bulwark against NATO and a committed participant of the Russia-led Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO). As a member of the bilateral Russian-Belarusian Union State – a unique quasi-confederate format of post-Soviet reintegration, founded in 1999...
Arkady Moshes 02-09-2017
(FIIA) (Co-author: R. Nizhnikau) On February 15, 2016, the EU decided not to prolong the sanctions it had imposed five years earlier on the regime of Alexander Lukashenko in response to brutal repressions against the Belarusian political opposition. The sanctions were lifted as a reward granted to Minsk in return for the release of remaining political prisoners, for the less oppressive presidential campaign of 2015 and– perhaps above all – for Belarus’s...
Arkady Moshes 01-05-2017
Чаму сёлета гэтак шмат праблемаў паўстала ў адносінах паміж Беларусьсю і Расеяй — нафта, газ, харчаваньне, умовы гандлю, мяжа? У чым мэта ваенна-стратэгічнага ціску Масквы на Менск? Як будуць разьвівацца беларуска-расейскія стасункі ў 2017 годзе? Гэтыя пытаньні ў перадачы «Вынікі году. Экспэртыза Свабоды» абмяркоўваюць дырэктар праграмы ЭЗ і Расеі ў Фінскім Інстытуце міжнародных адносінаў Аркадзь Мошас і кіраўнік Цэнтру стратэгічных і зьнешнепалітычных...

Pages

About the author

Director,The EU Eastern Neighbourhood and Russia Programme
Finnish Institute of International Affairs