Posts by Dmitry Gorenburg

Dmitry Gorenburg 09-09-2014
The May 2014 Moscow Conference on International Security (MCIS), sponsored by the Russian Ministry of Defense, was focused on the role of popular protest, and specifically color revolutions, in international security. The speakers, which included top Russian military and diplomatic officials such as Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, argued that color revolutions are a new form of warfare invented by Western governments...
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Dmitry Gorenburg 08-27-2014
It appears that the Russian invasion of Ukraine that I have feared since March has now begun in earnest, with the opening of a new front in the vicinity of Mariupol on the shores of the Azov Sea and a major counterattack in Luhansk Oblast leading to the retreat of Ukrainian forces from positions they have occupied (in some cases) since before the June ceasefire. This separatist counter-offensive has generated a lot of discussion among analysts and...
Dmitry Gorenburg 08-25-2014
За успехами украинской армии в Донецке скрывается её неспособность отрезать пути, по которым сепаратисты получают помощь... У Москвы все меньше вариантов «Количество и виды оружия, которое находится в руках у сепаратистов, не оставляют сомнений в том, что оно предоставляется правительством России»,  – сказал военный эксперт Дмитрий Горенбург. «В том числе у них есть такие виды оружия, которых нет у украинской армии. Поэтому когда повстанцы говорят, что...
Dmitry Gorenburg 08-20-2014
(Carnegie Forum on Rebuilding U.S.-Russia Relations) American media narratives generally tend to excessively personalize politics and international affairs, and recent coverage of Russia is no exception to this overall trend. During the entire Ukraine crisis, and especially in the aftermath of the downing of Malaysian Airlines Flight 17, Vladimir Putin has been portrayed as an evil leader bent on some combination of restoring the Soviet empire and...
Dmitry Gorenburg 07-21-2014
Today’s press conference by the Russian MOD shows that the Russian government has decided to double down on its narrative that the Ukrainian military is responsible for shooting down Malaysian Airlines flight 17. The Russian case is comprised of two parts. First, the Russian MOD released imagery showing that Ukrainian Buk systems were located in the region near where the airplane crashed. Second, the Russian MOD stated that its radars had noted two...
Dmitry Gorenburg 07-10-2014
"Непрямая" война, — объясняет автор Натан Дубовицкий, — то, как государства, скорее всего, будут воевать друг с другом в будущем, если уже не начали". Отдельные регионы и города будут формировать временные коалиции, чтобы разделиться в разгар войны и найти новых союзников, — пишет The Economist. Преимущество такого подхода заключается в "правдоподобном отрицании", — объясняет Дмитрий Горенбург из CNA Corporation,...
Dmitry Gorenburg 06-27-2014
(EurActiv) Western containment policy towards Russia in Europe’s east has a different meaning than it did during the Cold War because the ideological component is missing, says Dmitry Gorenburg, outlining the causes for the crisis, Putin’s motivations for annexation and assessing EU-US cooperation. Dmitry Gorenburg, Ph.D. is a senior researcher with CNA Corporation's Strategic Studies division. His areas of expertise include security issues, military...
Dmitry Gorenburg 06-17-2014
While in Moscow a few weeks ago, I was part of a group of U.S. scholars that met with Sergei Ryabkov, Russia’s Deputy Foreign Minister and BRICS sherpa, who has particular expertise in arms control and European cooperation. The meeting with Ryabkov was in many ways the complete antithesis of the Russian speeches at MCIS, which took place the next day. He said that Russia did not want to remove anything from the bilateral relationship with the United...
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Dmitry Gorenburg 06-10-2014
(The Moscow Times) The May 23 to 24 Moscow Conference on International Security, sponsored by Russia's Defense Ministry, focused not on conflict zones or technology advances, but on the role of popular protest — specifically "color revolutions," in international security. The speakers, among them top Russian military and diplomatic officials such as Sergei Shoigu and Sergei Lavrov, argued that color revolutions are a new form of warfare invented by ...
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Dmitry Gorenburg 06-03-2014
In addition to the plenary panel, the MCIS conference included two panel discussions, one on the Middle East and North Africa and the second on Afghanistan. The panel entitled "Finding Ways of Stabilization in the Middle East and North Africa" was moderated by Vitaly Naumkin of the Institute of Oriental Studies. Participants included Deputy Russian Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov, General Vladimir Zarudnitsky -- the head of the Main Operational...

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