Posts by Dmitry Gorenburg

Dmitry Gorenburg 04-13-2015
(L’Indro) A couple of weeks ago, I gave an interview to an Italian newspaper on the significance of the Russian military exercises that were conducting in conjunction with the first anniversary of the annexation of Crimea. The newspaper has kindly granted permission to publish an English-language version of the interview. See the interview (Russian Military Reform)
Dmitry Gorenburg 02-02-2015
Российская пропаганда заговорила о мощи своего военного флота. В декабре в эфире одного из российских телеканалов начальник Генерального штаба РФ Валерий Герасимов обещал, что к концу 2015 года количество боевых кораблей удвоится. "Увеличение обусловлено тем, что у России есть задачи в мировом океане", - заявил Герасимов. Однако на деле ситуация совсем не такая положительная, как говорит пропаганда Кремля, - пишет польское издание Gazeta Wyborcza. В...
Dmitry Gorenburg 11-10-2014
Moscow's Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies has just published a new book on the military aspects of the Ukraine crisis. Here's a preview of my book review, published today at War on the Rocks. Review of: Colby Howard and Ruslan Pukhov, eds. Brothers Armed: Military Aspects of the Crisis in Ukraine (East View Press, 2014). Over the last few months, the crisis in Ukraine has led to a fundamental reassessment of the state of U.S.-Russia...
Dmitry Gorenburg 10-01-2014
Russia’s actions in Ukraine have had a direct impact on the security perceptions of the Baltic States. Baltic leaders see Russia’s intervention in Ukraine as a potentially serious precedent for future Russian actions against the Baltic States. Russia’s statements declaring that it will protect ethnic Russians living outside the Russian Federation are of particular concern, given the large ethnic Russian minorities in Estonia and Latvia. Russian naval...
Dmitry Gorenburg 09-29-2014
(The Moscow Times/Huffington Post) While various commentators have described President Vladimir Putin as playing a chess game against the West, I would argue that he has actually been primarily reacting tactically to what he saw as a major defeat. After all, in late February, in just a few days Ukraine went from having chosen alliance with Russia to a victory by anti-Russian forces and the prospect of a close alliance with the West, and the potential loss...
Dmitry Gorenburg 09-09-2014
The May 2014 Moscow Conference on International Security (MCIS), sponsored by the Russian Ministry of Defense, was focused on the role of popular protest, and specifically color revolutions, in international security. The speakers, which included top Russian military and diplomatic officials such as Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, argued that color revolutions are a new form of warfare invented by Western governments...
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Dmitry Gorenburg 08-27-2014
It appears that the Russian invasion of Ukraine that I have feared since March has now begun in earnest, with the opening of a new front in the vicinity of Mariupol on the shores of the Azov Sea and a major counterattack in Luhansk Oblast leading to the retreat of Ukrainian forces from positions they have occupied (in some cases) since before the June ceasefire. This separatist counter-offensive has generated a lot of discussion among analysts and...
Dmitry Gorenburg 08-25-2014
За успехами украинской армии в Донецке скрывается её неспособность отрезать пути, по которым сепаратисты получают помощь... У Москвы все меньше вариантов «Количество и виды оружия, которое находится в руках у сепаратистов, не оставляют сомнений в том, что оно предоставляется правительством России»,  – сказал военный эксперт Дмитрий Горенбург. «В том числе у них есть такие виды оружия, которых нет у украинской армии. Поэтому когда повстанцы говорят, что...
Dmitry Gorenburg 08-20-2014
(Carnegie Forum on Rebuilding U.S.-Russia Relations) American media narratives generally tend to excessively personalize politics and international affairs, and recent coverage of Russia is no exception to this overall trend. During the entire Ukraine crisis, and especially in the aftermath of the downing of Malaysian Airlines Flight 17, Vladimir Putin has been portrayed as an evil leader bent on some combination of restoring the Soviet empire and...
Dmitry Gorenburg 07-21-2014
Today’s press conference by the Russian MOD shows that the Russian government has decided to double down on its narrative that the Ukrainian military is responsible for shooting down Malaysian Airlines flight 17. The Russian case is comprised of two parts. First, the Russian MOD released imagery showing that Ukrainian Buk systems were located in the region near where the airplane crashed. Second, the Russian MOD stated that its radars had noted two...

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