Commentary | Комментарии

Anar Valiyev 23 Mar 2017
(CPC) China has historically had few vital interests in the South Caucasus. Distance, along with the region’s unpredictable political and economic conditions, precluded China’s involvement in the region. In comparison with Central Asia, South Caucasus markets were marginal, population were low and investment opportunities challenging. Beijing was involved in only a few oil projects in Azerbaijan, mostly for representation rather than economic...
PONARS Eurasia 19 Mar 2017
The presidential succession in Uzbekistan following the death of Islam Karimov in September 2016 has rejuvenated discussion about the nature and future of Central Asia’s political regimes. Uzbekistan’s new president, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, has forged new relations with neighboring Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan and implemented some noticeable (though minor) changes in economic policy. In January 2017, Kazakhstan President Nursultan Nazarbayev suddenly...
PONARS Eurasia 19 Mar 2017
The presidential succession in Uzbekistan following the death of Islam Karimov in September 2016 has rejuvenated discussion about the nature and future of Central Asia’s political regimes. Uzbekistan’s new president, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, has forged new relations with neighboring Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan and implemented some noticeable (though minor) changes in economic policy. In January 2017, Kazakhstan President Nursultan Nazarbayev suddenly...
(Carnegie Endowment) At a time of economic stagnation, the Russian state is in need of social consensus and popular support behind the figure of President Vladimir Putin. After feeding an anti-Western atmosphere during the first year of the Ukraine crisis, the regime deliberately decreased its nationalist rhetoric, sidelined some of the nationalist actors who had become too prominent and not reliable enough, retired some of Putin’s old friends...
Tags: Laruelle, Russia
Şener Aktürk 16 Mar 2017
(Turkish Policy Quarterly) Turkish involvement in the Arab Spring and the Syrian civil war began at a time when Turkey’s impressive record of democratic progress and economic growth in the 2000s fueled remarkable optimism domestically and internationally about the country’s potentially democratizing influence in the greater Middle East, often discussed as “the Turkish model.” Against the background of the EU’s...
Tags: Akturk, Turkey
Pavel K. Baev 15 Mar 2017
(EDM) The whirlwind of Russian scandals continues to spread across government offices in Washington, DC; but in Moscow the impression is gradually forming that those scandals will soon blow over, so it is time to prepare Russia’s diplomatic moves and pile up the bargaining chips. The most urgent issue is perhaps the North Koreans’ nuclear misbehavior. But Russian diplomacy has little to say on the matter except to engage in...
Tags: Baev, Russia, Turkey
Kimberly Marten 08 Mar 2017
(CFR Report) “[Vladimir] Putin’s aggression makes the possibility of a war in Europe between nuclear-armed adversaries frighteningly real,” writes Kimberly Marten in a new Council Special Report on tensions between Russia and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). She outlines how U.S. policymakers can deter Russian aggression with robust support for NATO, while reassuring Russia of NATO’s defensive...
Tags: Marten, Russia, NATO
(ETH Zürich) For many decades, Soviet and Russian propagandists put a premium on “controlling the message.” With the ascension of Vladimir Putin, however, we’ve seen a qualitatively different approach to information warfare (IW). As Deborah Yarsike Ball sees it, instead of trafficking in petty disinformation, forgeries, leaks, etc., Russian IW now attempts to reinvent reality and create “mass hallucinations” that...

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