Policy Memos by Henry Hale

Henry Hale 10-21-2015

По мере того как война продолжает терзать Украину, различного рода наблюдатели и участники конфликта предложили множество потенциальных его решений, варьирующихся от более широкой региональной автономии и федерализма вплоть до частичного территориального размежевания. В то время как в наиболее...

Henry Hale 08-18-2015

As war continues to victimize Ukraine, various observers and participants have proposed a number of potential solutions to the conflict, ranging from greater regional autonomy to federalism to partial...

Henry Hale 05-11-2015

How did the dramatic events of 2014, including the annexation of Crimea and the onset of violent armed conflict in eastern Ukraine, transform the opinion of...

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Henry Hale 05-05-2013

Исследование моделей пост-выборных революций в бывших советских республиках дает серьезные основания полагать, что в 2014 году, когда в Афганистане состоятся выборы, определяющие, кто сменит Хамида Карзая на посту президента, в этой стране может произойти революция...

Henry Hale 05-03-2013

Executive Summary

Research on patterns of electoral revolution in post-Soviet countries strongly suggests that Afghanistan may be ripe for revolution in or before 2014, when elections are scheduled to choose...

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Henry Hale 07-23-2012

The Orange Revolution in Ukraine, the Rose Revolution in Georgia, and the Tulip Revolution in Kyrgyzstan have been widely interpreted as democratic breakthroughs. This largely misses the most important point....

Henry Hale 07-23-2012
On December 7, 2003, Russian voters in some regions will choose not only a parliament, but also a regional leader. For many citizens, the latter contests will mean much more than the...
Henry Hale 07-23-2012
When politicians hit the campaign trail and Russians prepare to vote for a new parliament (the Duma), Western attention is invariably drawn to the familiar and colorful competition...
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Henry Hale 07-23-2012

Ethnofederalism is a federal political system in which territorial governance units are explicitly designated as ethnic homelands. It has proven quite workable in multiethnic states from India to today’s Russia, but has gone disastrously wrong in polities like...

Henry Hale 07-23-2012

Now that Russia has entered the new millennium with a new leader and a new parliament, it is time to take stock of the democratization process in Russia. This memo addresses two questions:

• How far has Russia come? The answer is...

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About the author

Professor of Political Science and International Affairs; Co-Director, PONARS Eurasia
George Washington University