Policy Memos | Аналитические записки

Policy Memo # 432
Paul Goode 07 Jul 2016
(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) Discussions of popular support for the Kremlin’s foreign policy often invoke common international relations concepts, like the “rally around the flag” effect, or suggest that the abundance of patriotic coverage in domestic media galvanizes support for Russia’s foreign policy. Yet patriotism is a slippery concept, and it is far from clear that patriotic sentiment translates directly into support for a government’s foreign...
Policy Memo # 431
Mikhail Alexseev 20 Jun 2016
(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) The ongoing military conflict between Russia and Ukraine is a stark reminder that shifts in political tone and military tactics do not necessarily correlate with each other or represent substantive shifts in a state’s foreign policy goals. In fact, such shifts can serve to obfuscate policy continuities. A systematic analysis of official Russian statements and military conflict data over the last two years reveals that...
Policy Memo # 430
Sergei Medvedev 07 Jun 2016
(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) Over the past decade, Russia has launched a diplomatic and symbolic offensive in the Arctic, supported by increased military activity, grandiose economic plans, and showy assertions of sovereignty. Russian officials have increasingly portrayed the Arctic as the new frontier of a re-emerging Russia “standing up from its knees.” Despite grand actions and even grander rhetoric, however, Russia’s Arctic...
Policy Memo # 429
Ivan Kurilla 19 May 2016
(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) At the beginning of this year, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov published an article in Russia in Global Affairs explaining the recent radical changes in Russia’s foreign policy. Instead of dealing with the challenges and opportunities of the 21st century, however, Lavrov devoted his article to Russia’s thousand-year history. His boss, President Vladimir Putin, has similarly engaged in historical...
Policy Memo # 428
Serghei Golunov 10 May 2016
(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) What are the prospects for Russian-North Korean relations today? Ruled by a harsh totalitarian regime, the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, or North Korea, is one of the world’s most isolated countries. In addition to China, Russia is one of its few outlets for international political and economic relations. North Korea and Russia share a short, 17-kilometer, land border and have historically maintained trade...
Policy Memo # 427
Mikhail Troitskiy 11 Apr 2016
(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) Compared to past conflicts between Russia and the West, the Ukraine conflict has been noted for the use of “stealth,” or covert, action. Parties to the conflict have not only contested each other’s interpretations of facts but the facts themselves. This is a new and potentially dangerous phenomenon, particularly between major powers. Undertaking large-scale covert action and denying responsibility for it...
Policy Memo # 426
Jeffrey Mankoff 08 Apr 2016
(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) Regional integration is a core element of Washington’s vision for post-conflict Afghanistan. Captured by the metaphor of a New Silk Road (NSR), the U.S. has long sought to tie one of the world’s most remote countries to Central and South Asia, and onward to global markets. In a region notorious for grand visions fallen flat, the NSR initiative overlaps, compliments, and competes with new Russian and Chinese...
Policy Memo # 425
Alla Kassianova 21 Mar 2016
(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) With the latest protracted nosedive in U.S.-Russia relations, when areas of cooperation have continued to shrink, it is beneficial to reflect on historically constructive joint endeavors, such as the cooperation between the two countries’ nuclear weapon laboratories (“lab-to-lab cooperation”). Since 1992, cooperative efforts in this field have produced mutual trust and promoted the common goals of global...
Policy Memo # 424
Dmitry Gorenburg 17 Mar 2016
(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) As Russia begins to wind down its military operation in Syria, it is time to assess what it has taught us about how the Russian military operates. Although relatively small in scale, the operation in Syria has highlighted some major improvements in Russian military capabilities. Compared to the 2008 Georgia War, which was the last time the Russian Air Force operated in a combat environment, the Russian military...
Policy Memo # 423
Sergey Minasyan 08 Mar 2016
(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) The Russian military campaign in Syria has been a major military and political event with significant regional and global consequences. It is post-Soviet Russia’s first openly-conducted full-scale military operation abroad. Russia’s operation in Syria also deftly exploited the element of surprise, as in Ukraine, catching its counterparts in the United States, Europe, and the Middle East off guard. It remains to be...

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