Hale

PONARS Eurasia 12 Jul 2017
(opendemocracy) Ukraine’s clan networks are re-asserting their power again. Western partners need to think carefully about whom to support and how. Strange things are happening in Kyiv. In spring 2017, two prominent Ukrainian politicians — Mykola Martynenko, a former MP, and Roman Nasirov, former head of country’s fiscal service — were arrested on corruption charges to significant fanfare. Soon, however, both men were...
Tags: Hale, Russia
PONARS Eurasia 03 Jul 2017
(Russia Matters) Later this week, U.S. President Donald Trump and his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, will hold their first face-to-face meeting. Ahead of this widely anticipated encounter, on the sidelines of the July 7-8 Group of 20 summit in Hamburg, Germany, we have asked eight eminent experts to weigh in on several questions. While each respondent offers his own specific points and emphases, some opinions came up repeatedly. The most...
Henry Hale 05 Jun 2017
I just got back from a great conference at the University of Helsinki and thought I’d share some of the most striking research findings presented there. Celebrating the conclusion of the fifth year of the Aleksanteri Institute’s Finland Distinguished Professorship held by Vladimir Gel’man, it focused on “Politics and Governance in Russia: Comparative Perspectives.” Several papers examined how Putin “rules....
PONARS Eurasia 30 May 2017
(Sean's Russia Blog) How does politics in Eurasia really work? Henry Hale warns against overly simplistic interpretations of post-Soviet politics, such as writing Russia off as a dictatorship where nothing matters but Putin’s will. Instead, one must understand the specific social context in which he and other successful Eurasian leaders operate and the complex political considerations they must balance.  Hale: "I started to...
Tags: Hale, Russia
PONARS Eurasia 04 May 2017
PONARS Eurasia held a two-day workshop on April 28-29 on the theme of "Rethinking Russian Media Strategy and Influence." Below are the panels and abstracts from April 29. Click here for the panels and abstracts on April 28 (Day 1). Panel 5. New Approaches in Studying Social Media Chair: Tomila Lankina, London School of Economics and Political Science Sarah Oates, University of Maryland Meme Tracking: A Tool for Detecting and Deterring...
Henry Hale 04 May 2017
(Seminar) Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Turkey. Rodrigo Duterte in the Philippines. Narendra Modi in India. When leaders with authoritarian inclinations gain power in longtime democracies these days, they are frequently compared with Russia’s President Vladimir V. Putin. In the United States, Donald J. Trump even invited the comparison himself, complimenting the Russian leader during his presidential election campaign as exemplifying strong...
Tags: Hale, Russia
PONARS Eurasia 18 Apr 2017
(Daedalus) The current issue of Dædalus represents a collaborative effort to think afresh about Russia’s political future. The long and eventful reign of Vladimir Putin, commenced in 2000, is well into its second half. The time horizon we work with in our discussion is roughly ten to fifteen years out. By then, Putin, if alive, will be in his mid-seventies (he turns sixty-five in October 2017) and will either be out of power or in his endgame as...
Henry Hale 05 Apr 2017
(APSA) (Co-authored with T. Colton) Abstract: Under what conditions do individuals withdraw support from dominant parties in nondemocratic regimes? Employing an original panel survey, we measure the same individuals’ support for Russia's dominant party first at the peak of its dominance in 2008 and again shortly after it suffered a cascading defection of regime supporters in 2011–12. This allows us uniquely to explore the microfoundations...
Tags: Hale, Colton, Russia

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