Trump sympathy in the Balkans: cross-border populist appeal
(Mediterranean Politics) Do populist leaders tend to win support from the same kinds of people abroad as they do at home? Since we know public opinion can shape foreign policy,…
Posts by author
Henry Hale
74 posts
Professor of Political Science and International Affairs; Co-director, Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies (IERES); Co-director, PONARS Eurasia
Affiliation
Elliott School of International Affairs, The George Washington University
Expertise
Political Regimes, Ethnic Politics, Federalism, Democratization, Political Parties, Politics of Post-Soviet Countries
Don’t Call It a Cold War: Findings From the Russian-American Relations Survey
(The Working Group on the Future of U.S.-Russia Relations) Russian-American relations seem to be worsening with every year. After an attempted “reset” under U.S. President Barack Obama and Russian President Dmitry…
Russia’s referendum could keep Vladimir Putin in power until 2036. What do high-ranking Russians think?
(Monkey Cage) Russians vote today on constitutional amendments that would allow President Vladimir Putin to remain in office until the year 2036, thanks to changes to Russia’s presidential term limits. Putin recently justified these reforms as necessary…
Will the Protesters Return? Civil Disobedience in the Time of Covid-19
(Political Violence at a Glance) With government bans on public gatherings as well as forceful lockdowns, experts are raising concerns about a decline in street protests while also noting an upsurge in innovative online protest tactics…
Ukraine’s citizens worry about covid-19. And they still have to worry about the war.
(Monkey Cage) In the covid-19 fight, at what point do people think the cure is worse than the disease? Our new survey evidence from Ukraine shows that for countries in conflict, economic fears…
Putin’s End Game?
(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) Speaking to the lower house of parliament on March 10, Vladimir Putin seemingly affirmed what many have suspected all along: that he intends to stay in power…
Why are Republicans using Putin’s talking points? This study helps explain.
(Monkey Cage) (Co-authored with Olga Kamenchuk) During the impeachment hearings and trial of President Trump, former National Security Council official Fiona Hill and others accused Republican congressional leaders of adopting Russian President Vladimir…
A surprising connection between civilizational identity and succession expectations among Russian elites
(Post-Soviet Affairs) We know from prior research that non-democratic regimes can become vulnerable when elites anticipate succession at the top, but we know little about what shapes these elites’ expectations. This…
How Should We Now Conceptualize Protest, Diffusion, and Regime Change?
(Journal of Conflict Resolution) Abstract: Brancati and Lucardi’s findings on the absence of “democracy protest” diffusion across borders raise important questions for the future of protest studies. I argue that…
Russia’s Regime-on-the-Move
(Russian Politics) (Co-authors: Maria Lipman and Nikolay Petrov) Abstract: Russia’s political system must be understood as inherently dynamic, with constant regime change being essential to how the regime operates and survives. This regime…