Hale

Volodymyr Kulyk 19 Oct 2020
(Comparative Politics) Abstract: How does ethnicity influence mass support for radical reforms? Treating ethnicity as a set of cognitively useful categories serving both ethnocentric and inclusive ends, we argue people can strive toward civic visions for their state yet interpret obstacles through “ethnic” lenses. We label this phenomenon aspirational identity politics, prominent when...
Henry Hale 05 Aug 2020
(The Working Group on the Future of U.S.-Russia Relations) Russian-American relations seem to be worsening with every year. After an attempted “reset” under U.S. President Barack Obama and Russian President Dmitry Medvedev exhausted itself, a steady stream of events has kept tensions on a high burn. Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea. American economic sanctions on Russia. Russian...
Henry Hale 01 Jul 2020
(Monkey Cage) Russians vote today on constitutional amendments that would allow President Vladimir Putin to remain in office until the year 2036, thanks to changes to Russia’s presidential term limits. Putin recently justified these reforms as necessary to prevent a disruptive succession struggle. Is his plan working? Not entirely, according to data from the...
Henry Hale 26 May 2020
(Monkey Cage) In the covid-19 fight, at what point do people think the cure is worse than the disease? Our new survey evidence from Ukraine shows that for countries in conflict, economic fears aren’t the only issue. National security threats may pose significant barriers to slowing down the virus. How we did our research...
Henry Hale 06 Feb 2020
(Monkey Cage) (Co-authored with Olga Kamenchuk) During the impeachment hearings and trial of President Trump, former National Security Council official Fiona Hill and others accused Republican congressional leaders of adopting Russian President Vladimir Putin’s talking points. Why do so many in the GOP seem so unconcerned? Why have they concluded that the costs...