Policy Workshop, Washington, DC, February 1, 2019

PONARS Eurasia Policy Workshop

Russia in 2019: What Lies Ahead?

Friday, February 1, 2019 | Panel Videos/YouTube


9:00 am   Opening Remarks

Location: Lindner Commons, Room 602, GW Elliott School (1957 E St. NW)

9:15-10:45 am   Panel 1: Putin’s Fourth Term

          Chair: David Szakonyi, George Washington University 

Brian Taylor, Syracuse University    

Putin’s Fourth Term: Breakthrough or Stagnation?

Nikolay Petrov, Higher School of Economics (Moscow)                                                     

Putin-the-President to Putin-the-Leader in Another Capacity

Kirill Rogov, Liberal Mission Foundation (Moscow)

What Have We Learned from Putin’s First Year of His Fourth Term? 

Marlene Laruelle, George Washington University                          

Beyond Putin: Russia’s Generations Y and Z

Discussant: Maria Lipman, Co-editor of Point & Counterpoint

10:45-11:15 am   Coffee Break

11:15-1:00 pm   Panel 2: Society Beyond the Kremlin

Chair: Henry Hale, George Washington University

Gulnaz Sharafutdinova, King’s College London     

Ostrov 90kh: Political Opposition and the Struggle Over the 1990s

Andrey Makarychev, University of Tartu    

Opposition at a Distance: Liberal, Anti-Putin, or/and Pro-Western

Kelly McMann, Case Western Reserve University  

United Russia and the Likelihood of Political Liberalization: A Comparison and Contrast with Mexico’s PRI

Sarah Wilson Sokhey, University of Colorado Boulder

Social Policy in Putin’s (Last?) Term

Judyth Twigg, Virginia Commonwealth University

HIV/AIDS in Russia                  

Discussant: Wayne Merry, American Foreign Policy Council

1:00-2:00 pm   Lunch

2:00-3:30 pm   Panel 3: Russia's Economy and Its Great-Power Status

Chair: Kelly McMann, Case Western Reserve University

David Szakonyi, George Washington University

Export-Led Instability: Measuring the Collateral Damage of International Sanctions on Russia

Nigel Gould-Davies, Mahidol University International College (Thailand)

Russian Elites and Western Sanctions

Irina Busygina, Higher School of Economics (St. Petersburg)

The EAEU After Crimea: Threats of Exit, More Voice, and Less Loyalty

Discussant: Anders Aslund, Atlantic Council

3:30-4:00 pm   Coffee Break

4:00-5:30 pm   Panel 4: Russia’s Foreign Policy and Its Impacts 

ChairIrina Busygina, Higher School of Economics (St. Petersburg)

Ivan Kurilla, European University at St. Petersburg                       

Toward Possibilities of a New Reset: Russia and the United States in the Near Future

Dmitry Gorenburg, CNA Corporation; Harvard University

Russia’s Strategy in Southeast Asia

Robert Orttung, George Washington University

U.S., Russian, and Chinese Competition in the Arctic

Jesse Driscoll, University of California, San Diego  

Ukrainian Civil War: Would Accepting This Terminology Help Resolve the Conflict?

Discussant: Christopher Walker, National Endowment for Democracy 


Agenda updated: January 16