Pavel Baev

Two Words That Shook Putin’s Regime

(Eurasia Daily Monitor) The resonance in Russia from a short fragment of United States President Joseph Biden’s ABC News interview last Wednesday (March 17) has been extraordinarily loud—and the bilateral consequences could…

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West’s Renewed Focus on Solidarity and Coordination Perturbs Kremlin

(Eurasia Daily Monitor) The disastrous visit to Moscow of the European Union’s top diplomat, High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Josep Borrell, on February 4–6, followed in quick succession…

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Navalny Has Set a Damning Dilemma for Putin’s Regime

(Eurasia Daily Monitor) The decision of Russian democratic opposition leader Alexei Navalny to return to Moscow was announced on January 13 in a deliberately matter-of-fact way—and produced a full-blown political storm.…

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Year 2020 in Review: The Maturation of Russia’s Autocracy

(Eurasia Daily Monitor) Russia’s post-Soviet counter-transition arrived at its logical conclusion in 2020: Starting from a fledgling democracy in the 1990s, the country shifted to an “enlightened authoritarianism” in the 2000s,…

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Russia Strives for an Oil and Gas Resurgence

(Eurasia Daily Monitor) As the global economy—animated by the arrival of multiple COVID-19 vaccines—hopes for the first signs of recovery, expectations also rise in Russia for an accompanying surge in demand…

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Russians Contemplate Importance of US Elections for Russia

(Eurasia Daily Monitor) As the outcome of the 2020 presidential election in the United States became clear, many Russians began to reflect on what the result might mean for Russia’s position…

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New Wave of Islamic Extremism Adds to Putin’s Troubles

(Eurasia Daily Monitor) The series of terrorist attacks in France, in late October, attracted much attention in Russia, sharply dividing public opinion and leaving President Vladimir Putin in an awkward limbo.…

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Putin’s Non-Starter in Arms Control Marks the Nadir of Russia’s Status

(Eurasia Daily Monitor) The virtual meeting of the Russian Security Council last Friday (October 16) started with a surprise meant to signify a major foreign policy initiative. Namely, President Vladimir Putin…

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The Coronavirus Crisis Undercuts Russia’s Geopolitical Ambitions

(Eurasia Daily Monitor) The sharp rise of COVID-19 infections in Russia in the last couple of weeks was predictable given the relatively high “plateau” of new cases over the summer after…

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No peacemakers for the new/old Caucasian war: Understanding the Armenia-Azerbaijan clash

(Brookings) full-blown war erupted in the South Caucasus last Sunday, September 27, and as the two belligerents — Armenia and Azerbaijan — mobilize their forces under martial law, no international authority…

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Two Words That Shook Putin’s Regime

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No peacemakers for the new/old Caucasian war: Understanding the Armenia-Azerbaijan clash