Policy Memos | Аналитика 11

The Risk of Protest Won’t Stop Election Manipulation: Implications for Democracy Assistance

Some of the most dramatic conclusions to an authoritarian regime have come when mass protests arise against a rigged election. Images of banner-waving crowds in the thousands often capture international…

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Ukraine’s Current Counterintelligence Capabilities

Ukraine suffered heavy casualties over the course of last summer. Tides turned in August when Ukrainian intelligence services and military forces began to increasingly destabilize Russian control in multiple areas,…

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The Evolving Concerns of Russians After the Invasion of Ukraine: Evaluating Appeals to the Presidential Administration

Throughout President Vladimir Putin’s war on Ukraine, the attitudes of the Russian public toward the regime and the conflict have been the subject of much scrutiny as information about popular…

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Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine and Weaponization of the “Humanitarian Space”

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has been marked by the destruction of infrastructure, cities, and civilian populations. International audiences remain stunned by the sheer scale and viciousness of the violence. Eight…

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How Reliable Are Polls In Wartime Ukraine?

Public opinion is central to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. President Vladimir Putin’s fantasy of “rescuing” fellow Russians portrays Russia as acting on behalf of those who are overlooked and without…

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Beyond Wagner: The Russian Cossack Forces in Ukraine

Readers of the Western press might think that the only paramilitary or mercenary forces participating in Russia’s invasion of Ukraine are Yevgeny Prigozhin’s Wagner group and Ramzan Kadyrov’s Kadyrovtsy. Yet…

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Turning the Soviet Ethos into a Democracy Cause: Lessons From the 2020 Belarus Mobilization

Expectations have been low for decades that Belarusians would rise up against their country leader, President Alyaksandr Lukashenka, but the 2020 election changed everything. The massive support for the three…

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Is the War in Ukraine Helping or Hindering the Relationship Between the EU and its Illiberal Member States?

The far-ranging consequences of the war in Ukraine are incalculable. The conflict has had reverberations spilling well beyond the borders of the two countries, from revisions to the European energy…

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The Policy Implications of Russia’s Genocide in Ukraine

Amid Rwanda’s brutal, society-wide slaughter in 1994, U.S. Secretary of State Warren Christopher retorted to a reporter, “If there is any particular magic in calling it a genocide, I have…

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National Security in Local Hands? How Local Authorities Contribute to Ukraine’s Resilience

As Russia struggles on the battlefield, it increasingly tries to bend Ukrainian resistance by targeting civilians in various ways. Most recently, Russian officials strove to freeze, starve, or force Ukrainians…

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Silence Matters: Self-Censorship and War in Russia

It is hard to imagine that Russian polls and surveys could paint authentic images of viewpoints during wartime. When Russians are asked if they support the war—whether by an independent…

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Ethnic Variation in Support for Putin and the Invasion of Ukraine

After Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, understanding the political attitudes of Russia’s ethnic minority population has become increasingly important. Although ethnic Russians constitute 81 percent of Russia’s population (2021 Census),…

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Policy Memos | Аналитика

The Risk of Protest Won’t Stop Election Manipulation: Implications for Democracy Assistance

Ukraine’s Current Counterintelligence Capabilities

The Evolving Concerns of Russians After the Invasion of Ukraine: Evaluating Appeals to the Presidential Administration

Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine and Weaponization of the “Humanitarian Space”

How Reliable Are Polls In Wartime Ukraine?

Beyond Wagner: The Russian Cossack Forces in Ukraine

Turning the Soviet Ethos into a Democracy Cause: Lessons From the 2020 Belarus Mobilization

Is the War in Ukraine Helping or Hindering the Relationship Between the EU and its Illiberal Member States?

The Policy Implications of Russia’s Genocide in Ukraine

National Security in Local Hands? How Local Authorities Contribute to Ukraine’s Resilience

Silence Matters: Self-Censorship and War in Russia

Ethnic Variation in Support for Putin and the Invasion of Ukraine