Policy Memos | Аналитика 96

New Challenges to Russian Federalism

The alleged success of former president (and current prime minister) Vladimir Putin in recentralizing the Russian Federation requires critical appraisal. A number of limitations to the reunification project, as Putin…

Ukraine after the 2010 Presidential Election: Implications for Democracy and Foreign Policy

In the wake of Ukraine’s February 2010 presidential election, there are three major questions that need to be addressed before a comprehensive picture of Ukraine’s “post-Orange” future can be developed: …

The Third Restart: Challenges for Democracy in Post-Bakiyev Kyrgyzstan

In April 2010, the second president of Kyrgyzstan, Kurmanbek Bakiyev, was ousted from power after bloody clashes between authorities and protesters. He finally settled in Belarus, following the trajectory of…

Security Bridge or Vacuum in Post-Orange Ukraine: How Operative is the Euro-Atlantic Integration Toolbox?

The chronic political uncertainty in Ukraine has created a type of formal stability built upon a play-with-the-rules (instead of play-by-the-rules) archetype. This kind of stability may help consolidate national governance…

The Caspian Sea Region: Local Dynamics, Global Reverberations

The Caspian Sea region is one of the most dynamic focal points in Eurasia, and not only because of its strategic oil and gas resources. There are two major issues…

Understanding Suicide Terrorist Bombings in Russia

Suicide terrorist bombings have been a frequent phenomenon in Russia over the past decade. The large majority of these attacks have occurred in the North Caucasus—particularly Chechnya, Dagestan, and Ingushetia—but…

The U.S.-Russia ‘Reset’: A Skeptical View

It has been more than two years since the Barack Obama administration initiated its so-called reset in the United States’ relations with the Russian Federation. Some might argue that it…

Three Perspectives on Political Islam in Central Asia

This memo explores political Islam in Central Asia from three perspectives: that of (1) U.S. government analysts; (2) Central Asian government leaders; and (3) everyday Central Asian Muslims. Drawing on…

These Colors May Run: The Backlash Against the U.S.-Backed ‘Democratic Revolutions’ in Eurasia

The victory of Viktor Yanukovych in the second round of Ukraine’s 2010 presidential election has been widely portrayed as a rebuke of the 2004 Orange Revolution and the pro-Western alignment…

Recurring Referendums: The Struggle for Constitutional ‘Reform’ in Kyrgyzstan

With the adoption of its new constitution by referendum on June 27, 2010, Kyrgyzstan made history by becoming only the second state in post-Soviet Eurasia (after Moldova, and not including…

Russian-Chinese Oil Relations: Dominance or Negotiation?

Russia and China are destined by geography and development to be linked. For its part, China needs to import large quantities of oil (and gas). Oil production in the country…

The Kyrgyz Crisis and the Political Logic of Central Asia’s Weak Regional Security Organizations

For the second time in five years, political events in Kyrgyzstan shook the Central Asia region and caught the international community off-guard. In early April 2010, a few sporadic protests…

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Policy Memos | Аналитика