Belarus

The ‘Don’t Lose Lukashenko’ Approach: Kyiv’s (Non-) Strategic Ambiguity Toward the Belarusian Opposition

Image credit/license After the regime of Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko provided logistical support to the Kremlin in its war of aggression against Ukraine launched in February 2022, one might have…

View

A Deal with the Devil: Lukashenko Navigates Domestic and External Vulnerabilities in Managing Relations with Russia

Image credit/license Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Belarus-Russia relations have been an issue of rather little interest for outside observers. The new parameters of the bilateral alliance…

View

Belarus and the War: Gradual De-Sovereignization of the Country

Image credit/license Alyaksandr Lukashenka’s active participation in Russia’s aggression against Ukraine has fundamentally weakened his regime and intensified the erosion of Belarusian sovereignty. Already in domestic political crisis following the…

View

The Risk of Protest Won’t Stop Election Manipulation: Implications for Democracy Assistance

Some of the most dramatic conclusions to an authoritarian regime have come when mass protests arise against a rigged election. Images of banner-waving crowds in the thousands often capture international…

View

Turning the Soviet Ethos into a Democracy Cause: Lessons From the 2020 Belarus Mobilization

Expectations have been low for decades that Belarusians would rise up against their country leader, President Alyaksandr Lukashenka, but the 2020 election changed everything. The massive support for the three…

View

Russia’s War and Belarus’s Ravaged Sovereignty

For more than two years, Belarus has been stuck in a political crisis. Ever since the fraudulent presidential election and anti-government protests in August 2020, the root cause is that…

View

The Informational Dictator’s Dilemma: Citizen Responses to Media Censorship and Control in Russia and Belarus

In Russia and throughout much of the post-Soviet space, media are now less free than at any point since the end of the Soviet Union. Authoritarian regimes across the region…

View

Forever Together? Relations Between Moscow and Minsk After the Belarusian Revolution of 2020

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) The Belarusian Revolution was a stress test for Belarus-Russia relations. The domestic political crisis that followed the rigged presidential elections of 2020 weakened the Minsk regime…

View

Why Russia Is Unlikely to Use Zapad-2021 to Intervene Militarily in European Countries

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) The last time Russia and Belarus teamed up to hold a large-scale strategic command-and-staff military exercise, a number of international media outlets pondered whether it might…

View

The Belarus Protests and Russia: Lessons for “Big Brother”

The anti-Lukashenka protests in Belarus, which have lasted since August 2020, may have slipped off the front pages of international media, but the recent pro-Navalny demonstrations in Russia make for…

Contacts

DIGITAL RESOURCES

Knowledge Hub

RECOMMENDED

The ‘Don’t Lose Lukashenko’ Approach: Kyiv’s (Non-) Strategic Ambiguity Toward the Belarusian Opposition

Too Much, Too Late? The Impact of Secrecy on Efforts to Mediate an End to the Russia-Ukraine War

A Deal with the Devil: Lukashenko Navigates Domestic and External Vulnerabilities in Managing Relations with Russia

Peacemaking Russian Style: Negotiations as the Continuation of War by Other Means

‘DIY Warfare’: How Russia Crowdsources the Battlefield in Ukraine

PONARS Eurasia Podcast

The ‘Don’t Lose Lukashenko’ Approach: Kyiv’s (Non-) Strategic Ambiguity Toward the Belarusian Opposition

A Deal with the Devil: Lukashenko Navigates Domestic and External Vulnerabilities in Managing Relations with Russia

Belarus and the War: Gradual De-Sovereignization of the Country

The Risk of Protest Won’t Stop Election Manipulation: Implications for Democracy Assistance

Turning the Soviet Ethos into a Democracy Cause: Lessons From the 2020 Belarus Mobilization

Russia’s War and Belarus’s Ravaged Sovereignty

The Informational Dictator’s Dilemma: Citizen Responses to Media Censorship and Control in Russia and Belarus

Forever Together? Relations Between Moscow and Minsk After the Belarusian Revolution of 2020

Why Russia Is Unlikely to Use Zapad-2021 to Intervene Militarily in European Countries

The Belarus Protests and Russia: Lessons for “Big Brother”