Why Would Western Policymakers Favor a Ukrainian Stalemate Over Victory?

During the first days of the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, some Western governments muttered that if the blitzkrieg on Kyiv succeeds, they might accept Ukraine’s…

Will Ukraine’s 2019 Elections Be a Turning Point? Unlikely, but Dangers Lurk

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) Next year, amid an ongoing conflict with Russia, sluggish economic recovery, and the rise of populism, Ukrainians will elect a new president (in March) and a…

How the US and EU Can Make the Kremlin Rethink Its Options in Ukraine’s Donbas

(PONARS Policy Memo) Before Donald Trump’s ascension to power, Washington, Berlin, and Paris were essentially on the same policy page toward pacifying the conflict in Donbas. The broad aim was to…

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New Policy Memo: From “Hybrid War” to “Hybrid Peace”: One More “Frozen Conflict?”

(Co-author: Petro Burkovsky) Since the Minsk II negotiations of February 2015, Ukraine and the Euro-Atlantic community have leaned toward freezing the conflict in the Donbas as a possible “exit strategy” and…

From “Hybrid War” to “Hybrid Peace”: One More “Frozen Conflict”?

Since the Minsk II negotiations of February 2015, Ukraine and the Euro-Atlantic community have leaned toward freezing the conflict in the Donbas as a possible “exit strategy” and way to…

The Poroshenko Phenomenon: Elections and Challenges Ahead

(By Olexiy Haran and Petro Burkovsky) Back in 2005, it seemed that Petro Poroshenko, then serving as secretary for the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, would be entirely…

A New President for Ukraine: A Democratic Choice in the CIS?

During the second term of President Leonid Kuchma (1999–2004) Ukraine faced a serious decline in civil rights, rule of law, and fair government. Political scandals around journalist Heorhiy Gongadze’s murder…

Is Democracy Irreversible in Ukraine? Political Reconfiguration on the Eve of the March 2006 Elections

The Orange Revolution in November-December 2004 against falsifications of the presidential election was a tremendous step forward in the democratization of Ukraine. Since the election, however, democratically elected President Viktor…

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