Russia may be about to invade Ukraine. Russians don’t want it to.

(Washington Post/Monkey Cage) The White House just warned that there is a “distinct possibility” that Russia will invade Ukraine in a “very swift time frame.” More than 100,000 Russian troops are now massed near…

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Electoral Manipulation and Regime Support: Survey Evidence from Russia

Does electoral fraud stabilize authoritarian rule or undermine it? The answer to this question rests in part on how voters evaluate regime candidates who engage in fraud. Using a survey…

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Event (Feb. 18): Sources of Reform in Russia: Celebrate Three New Books with the Authors

Join us for a book launch featuring new books from Evgeny Finkel, Scott Gehlbach, Bryn Rosenfeld, and David Szakonyi. In Reform and Rebellion in Weak States, Evgeny Finkel and Scott Gehlbach…

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New Book! Politics for Profit: Business, Elections, and Policymaking in Russia

(Cambridge University Press) Businesspeople run for and win elected office around the world, with roughly one-third of members of parliament and numerous heads of states coming directly from the private sector.…

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Members’ commentary on Vladimir Putin’s “plans to be president for life”

Pavel Baev in “Putin Nullifies All Further Speculation About a Leadership Transition in Russia” (Eurasia Daily Monitor) “Seeking to preserve a modicum of uncertainty, Putin has yet to formally announce…

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Banking on Politics: How Russia’s Banking Sector Clean-Up Affects Regime Stability

(Point & Counterpoint) Through all the gloom of Russia’s stagnating economy, one bright spot has been the prudent macroeconomic policy coming from the Central Bank. Under the leadership of Elvira Nabiullina,…

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Szakonyi: Assange was already in a sinkhole, he was a destructive conduit for information

(CBC) To some, he was a truth seeker bent on exposing government misdeeds. To others, he was a high-tech menace who helped Russian hackers deliver the 2016 U.S. presidential election to…

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Buyer Beware: Evaluating Russian Exports Under Sanctions and Stagnation

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) The use of sanctions to push Russia to change its foreign policy behavior has come under heated debate. Proponents argue that the sanctions policy pursued by the…

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David Szakonyi — 2018 Gabriel A. Almond Award Recipient

The American Political Science Association (APSA) will present the Gabriel A. Almond Award to Dr. David Szakonyi at the 2018 APSA Annual Meeting & Exhibition, the world’s largest gathering of political scientists and source…

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Szakonyi: The attempted Trump-Putin cool-down won’t undo the recent, damaging sanctions

(VICE News) Two days after the U.S. launched missile strikes on Syria, President Trump’s U.N. Ambassador, Nikki Haley, made the rounds of Sunday political talk showspromising more economic sanctions for Russia over…

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