Ukraine

The Changing “De-facto State Playbook”: From Opportunism to Strategic Calculation

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) We see clear signs that Russia has been applying a “de facto state playbook” in the Ukrainian territories it has seized since the beginning of its…

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International Society Must Act in the Wake of Russia’s Failed Opposition

(PONARS Eurasia Commentary) The failure to stop Russian President Vladimir Putin’s accumulation of power made possible his invasion of Ukraine. If Russian society hopes to prevent future tragedies, ordinary citizens…

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Time to Question Russia’s Imperial Innocence

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) President Vladimir Putin has successfully mobilized a sense of militant patriotism in the Russian public to wage war in Ukraine. The Kremlin’s propaganda builds on seeing…

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Witnessing Ukraine, Watersheds in the Balkans

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) Common threats unify. Unfortunately, the war on Ukraine had to happen to make clear what already should have been. As French President Emmanuel Macron explained, NATO…

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Similarities Stain the Kremlin’s Warfare on Chechens and Ukrainians

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) The Russian war in Ukraine continues with daily news reports from besieged cities documenting humanitarian disasters, growing civilian casualties, and fleeing refugees. Many commentators have compared…

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Rebuilding Ukraine: Pre-War Trends and Post-War Priorities Should Inform the Process

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) A massive national reconstruction effort for Ukraine, guided by that country’s government and popular will, must be launched even before Russian aggression is defeated. At this…

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Who’s to Blame? Sanctions, Economic Hardship, and Putin’s Fear of Color Revolutions

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) The sanctions now imposed on Russia—as severe as they are—are unlikely by themselves to lead to widespread protests demanding political change. Although at the time of…

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Russia’s Muslim Leaders on the Invasion of Ukraine: United in a Display of Loyalty, Divided in Competition for Power

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24 has deepened the existing cracks within Russia’s biggest religious institution, the Russian Orthodox Church (ROC). The Moscow Patriarchate is…

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Putin’s Occupation Options for Ukraine: Keep or Trade?

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) In his speech declaring the launch of the so-called “limited military operation,” President Vladimir Putin stated that Russia had no plans to occupy Ukraine: “We are…

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Vladimir Putin’s Casus Belli for Invading Ukraine

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) On February 24, 2022, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a “special military operation” in Ukraine. Although the scale of the invasion caught many analysts by surprise,…

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The Changing “De-facto State Playbook”: From Opportunism to Strategic Calculation

International Society Must Act in the Wake of Russia’s Failed Opposition

Time to Question Russia’s Imperial Innocence

Witnessing Ukraine, Watersheds in the Balkans

Similarities Stain the Kremlin’s Warfare on Chechens and Ukrainians

Rebuilding Ukraine: Pre-War Trends and Post-War Priorities Should Inform the Process

Who’s to Blame? Sanctions, Economic Hardship, and Putin’s Fear of Color Revolutions

Russia’s Muslim Leaders on the Invasion of Ukraine: United in a Display of Loyalty, Divided in Competition for Power

Putin’s Occupation Options for Ukraine: Keep or Trade?

Vladimir Putin’s Casus Belli for Invading Ukraine