Posts by author

Henry Hale

79 posts

Professor of Political Science and International Affairs; Co-director, Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies (IERES); Co-director, PONARS Eurasia

Affiliation

Elliott School of International Affairs, The George Washington University

Links

The George Washington University (Bio)

Expertise

Political Regimes, Ethnic Politics, Federalism, Democratization, Political Parties, Politics of Post-Soviet Countries

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Would Putin’s Own People Punish Him for Invading Ukraine?

(RAD) Many now believe Russia will launch a major new invasion of Ukraine, dramatically expanding the war that has been raging (largely behind Western headlines) since 2014. Western leaders want…

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Russia may be about to invade Ukraine. Russians don’t want it to.

(Washington Post/Monkey Cage) The White House just warned that there is a “distinct possibility” that Russia will invade Ukraine in a “very swift time frame.” More than 100,000 Russian troops are now massed near…

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Putin Has Off-Ramps: Let’s Not Block Them

(PONARS Eurasia Commentary) With warnings Russia will invade Ukraine growing louder by the day, it is common to hear that President Vladimir Putin has passed the point of no return.…

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Authoritarian Rallying as Reputational Cascade? Evidence from Putin’s Popularity Surge after Crimea

(American Political Science Review) When international conflict causes an authoritarian leader’s popularity to soar, extant theories lead us to treat such “rallying” as sincere preference change, the product of surging…

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Trump sympathy in the Balkans: cross-border populist appeal

(Mediterranean Politics) Do populist leaders tend to win support from the same kinds of people abroad as they do at home? Since we know public opinion can shape foreign policy,…

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Pandemic Politics in Eurasia: Roadmap for a New Research Subfield

(Problems of Post-Communism) The sudden onset of COVID-19 has challenged many social scientists to proceed without a robust theoretical and empirical foundation upon which to build. Addressing this challenge, particularly…

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Don’t Call It a Cold War: Findings From the Russian-American Relations Survey

(The Working Group on the Future of U.S.-Russia Relations) Russian-American relations seem to be worsening with every year. After an attempted “reset” under U.S. President Barack Obama and Russian President Dmitry…

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Russia’s referendum could keep Vladimir Putin in power until 2036. What do high-ranking Russians think?

(Monkey Cage) Russians vote today on constitutional amendments that would allow President Vladimir Putin to remain in office until the year 2036, thanks to changes to Russia’s presidential term limits. Putin recently justified these reforms as necessary…

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Will the Protesters Return? Civil Disobedience in the Time of Covid-19

(Political Violence at a Glance) With government bans on public gatherings as well as forceful lockdowns, experts are raising concerns about a decline in street protests while also noting an upsurge in innovative online protest tactics…

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Ukraine’s citizens worry about covid-19. And they still have to worry about the war.

(Monkey Cage) In the covid-19 fight, at what point do people think the cure is worse than the disease? Our new survey evidence from Ukraine shows that for countries in conflict, economic fears…

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Putin’s End Game?

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) Speaking to the lower house of parliament on March 10, Vladimir Putin seemingly affirmed what many have suspected all along: that he intends to stay in power…

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Why are Republicans using Putin’s talking points? This study helps explain.

(Monkey Cage) (Co-authored with Olga Kamenchuk) During the impeachment hearings and trial of President Trump, former National Security Council official Fiona Hill and others accused Republican congressional leaders of adopting Russian President Vladimir…

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Illiberalism and Public Opinion Junctures in Russia’s War on Ukraine

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Policy Briefs | BEAR Network-PONARS Eurasia Conference

PONARS Eurasia Podcast

Henry Hale

Would Putin’s Own People Punish Him for Invading Ukraine?

Russia may be about to invade Ukraine. Russians don’t want it to.

Putin Has Off-Ramps: Let’s Not Block Them

Authoritarian Rallying as Reputational Cascade? Evidence from Putin’s Popularity Surge after Crimea

Trump sympathy in the Balkans: cross-border populist appeal

Pandemic Politics in Eurasia: Roadmap for a New Research Subfield

Don’t Call It a Cold War: Findings From the Russian-American Relations Survey

Russia’s referendum could keep Vladimir Putin in power until 2036. What do high-ranking Russians think?

Will the Protesters Return? Civil Disobedience in the Time of Covid-19

Ukraine’s citizens worry about covid-19. And they still have to worry about the war.

Putin’s End Game?

Why are Republicans using Putin’s talking points? This study helps explain.