NEW BOOK: The Zelensky Effect
A compelling story of how ordinary Ukrainians saved their nation. With Russian shells raining on Kyiv and tanks closing in, American forces prepared to evacuate Ukraine’s leader. Just three years…
Posts by author
Henry Hale
9 posts
Professor of Political Science and International Affairs; Co-director, Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies (IERES); Co-director, PONARS Eurasia
Affiliation
Elliott School of International Affairs, The George Washington University
Expertise
Political Regimes, Ethnic Politics, Federalism, Democratization, Political Parties, Politics of Post-Soviet Countries
How Conservative Are Russians? Findings from the 2021 LegitRuss Survey
Beginning in 2011-12, the Kremlin and the media it controls embarked on what analysts have widely called “the Conservative Turn.” With support slipping and the largest protests of the Putin…
Would Putin’s Own People Punish Him for Invading Ukraine?
(RAD) Many now believe Russia will launch a major new invasion of Ukraine, dramatically expanding the war that has been raging (largely behind Western headlines) since 2014. Western leaders want…
Russia may be about to invade Ukraine. Russians don’t want it to.
(Washington Post/Monkey Cage) The White House just warned that there is a “distinct possibility” that Russia will invade Ukraine in a “very swift time frame.” More than 100,000 Russian troops are now massed near…
Putin Has Off-Ramps: Let’s Not Block Them
(PONARS Eurasia Commentary) With warnings Russia will invade Ukraine growing louder by the day, it is common to hear that President Vladimir Putin has passed the point of no return.…
Authoritarian Rallying as Reputational Cascade? Evidence from Putin’s Popularity Surge after Crimea
(American Political Science Review) When international conflict causes an authoritarian leader’s popularity to soar, extant theories lead us to treat such “rallying” as sincere preference change, the product of surging…
Trump sympathy in the Balkans: cross-border populist appeal
(Mediterranean Politics) Do populist leaders tend to win support from the same kinds of people abroad as they do at home? Since we know public opinion can shape foreign policy,…
Pandemic Politics in Eurasia: Roadmap for a New Research Subfield
(Problems of Post-Communism) The sudden onset of COVID-19 has challenged many social scientists to proceed without a robust theoretical and empirical foundation upon which to build. Addressing this challenge, particularly…
Putin’s End Game?
(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) Speaking to the lower house of parliament on March 10, Vladimir Putin seemingly affirmed what many have suspected all along: that he intends to stay in power…