Policy Memos | Аналитика 60

New Silk Route or Classic Developmental Cul-de-Sac? The Prospects and Challenges of China’s OBOR Initiative

In September 2013, at a speech at Nazarbayev University in Astana, Chinese Premier Xi Jinping announced plans to promote a “Silk Road Economic Belt” across neighboring Eurasian states. Over the…

The Sochi Syndrome Afoot in Central Asia: Spectacle and Speculative Building in Baku, Astana, and Ashgabat (co-authored)

“Baku has a historical beauty. Ancient Baku has its own beauty, and it is a source of our pride. At the same time, the rejuvenating and modernizing Baku has already…

Lessons (Half) Learned: Comparing the 1998 and 2014 Ruble Crises

"Reforms begin when the money runs out." – Sberbank president German Gref, May 2015 In December 2014, Russia experienced the most significant drop in the ruble’s value since the financial…

From “Hybrid War” to “Hybrid Peace”: One More “Frozen Conflict”?

Since the Minsk II negotiations of February 2015, Ukraine and the Euro-Atlantic community have leaned toward freezing the conflict in the Donbas as a possible “exit strategy” and way to…

Why Central Asia is More Stable than Eastern Europe: The Domestic Impact of Geopolitics

In the early 1990s, scholars, journalists, and political observers predicted that the new Central Asian states would descend into chaos and break apart. More than 20 years later, Central Asia’s…

От «гибридной войны» к «гибридному миру»: Еще один «замороженный конфликт»?

После заключения в феврале 2015 г. соглашений «Минск-2» Украина и евроатлантическое сообщество склонились к замораживанию конфликта на Донбассе как возможной стратегии выхода и отходу от опасной эскалации конфликта. Москва, напротив,…

Cобирание земель или воссоединение людей? Геополитка и биовласть в российской политике соседства

Пост-советские страны обычно рассматривают политику Российской Федерации (РФ) по отношению к ним через геополитическую призму, как пример региональной державы, борющейся за контроль за соседними территориями. Но это только часть общей…

Reassembling Lands or Reconnecting People? Geopolitics and Biopower in Russia’s Neighborhood Policy

Post-Soviet states tend to view Russian policies toward them through a geopolitical lens, interpreting the approaches as that of a regional power competing for the control of nearby lands. This,…

Eurasia, Eurasianism, Eurasian Union: Terminological Gaps and Overlaps

Ever since Vladimir Putin launched the Eurasian Union project in 2011, scholars and the media have tended to analyze it as the victory of the Eurasianist ideology. This memo investigates…

China and the Two Pivots

Partly in response to the U.S. rebalancing to Asia, Chinese leaders have been trying to define Asia for Asians. The Russian pivot to Asia complicates this agenda. On the one…

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Kazakhstan and the “Russian World”: Is a New Intervention on the Horizon?

Russia’s annexation of Crimea and subsequent support for separatists in eastern Ukraine gave rise to fears that this scenario could be repeated elsewhere. Especially worrisome is the fact that the…

How Russia’s Food Embargo and Ruble Devaluation Challenge the Eurasian Customs Union

The Russian economic crisis of 2014-15 has dramatically affected cross-border trade among the three central states of the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU), Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Russia (all of which are…

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Policy Memos | Аналитика