NEW BOOK: The Zelensky Effect
A compelling story of how ordinary Ukrainians saved their nation. With Russian shells raining on Kyiv and tanks closing in, American forces prepared to evacuate Ukraine’s leader. Just three years…
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Hale
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How Conservative Are Russians? Findings from the 2021 LegitRuss Survey
Beginning in 2011-12, the Kremlin and the media it controls embarked on what analysts have widely called “the Conservative Turn.” With support slipping and the largest protests of the Putin…
Would Putin’s Own People Punish Him for Invading Ukraine?
(RAD) Many now believe Russia will launch a major new invasion of Ukraine, dramatically expanding the war that has been raging (largely behind Western headlines) since 2014. Western leaders want…
Russia may be about to invade Ukraine. Russians don’t want it to.
(Washington Post/Monkey Cage) The White House just warned that there is a “distinct possibility” that Russia will invade Ukraine in a “very swift time frame.” More than 100,000 Russian troops are now massed near…
Putin Has Off-Ramps: Let’s Not Block Them
(PONARS Eurasia Commentary) With warnings Russia will invade Ukraine growing louder by the day, it is common to hear that President Vladimir Putin has passed the point of no return.…
Authoritarian Rallying as Reputational Cascade? Evidence from Putin’s Popularity Surge after Crimea
(American Political Science Review) When international conflict causes an authoritarian leader’s popularity to soar, extant theories lead us to treat such “rallying” as sincere preference change, the product of surging…
Trump sympathy in the Balkans: cross-border populist appeal
(Mediterranean Politics) Do populist leaders tend to win support from the same kinds of people abroad as they do at home? Since we know public opinion can shape foreign policy,…
A New Wave of Research on Civilizational Politics
(Nationalities Papers) Abstract: A new wave of scholarship has made major advances in how we understand the politics of civilizational identity by drawing powerfully from conceptual tools developed over the years to…
Aspirational Identity Politics and Support for Radical Reform: The Case of Post-Maidan Ukraine
(Comparative Politics) Abstract: How does ethnicity influence mass support for radical reforms? Treating ethnicity as a set of cognitively useful categories serving both ethnocentric and inclusive ends, we argue people can…
Don’t Call It a Cold War: Findings From the Russian-American Relations Survey
(The Working Group on the Future of U.S.-Russia Relations) Russian-American relations seem to be worsening with every year. After an attempted “reset” under U.S. President Barack Obama and Russian President Dmitry…