In Russia’s Nuclear Messaging to West and Ukraine, Putin Plays Both Bad and Good Cop

(PONARS Eurasia Commentary) Should a nuclear war “never be unleashed?” Can nuclear weapons be used to “ensure the safety of the Russian people?” Both, according to President Vladimir Putin, who…

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The Nuclear Weapons Factor on Interstate Politics in the Russia-Ukraine War

“No matter who tries to stand in our way, or all the more so, create threats for our country and our people, they must know that Russia will respond immediately,…

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The Real and Projected Strategic Dimension of the Russian Black Sea Fleet

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) Since its annexation of Crimea, Russia has not deviated from its coercive military behavior, displaying its military might again and again. The substance of its military…

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The Soviets’ Dark Nuclear Romance

(War on the Rocks podcast) Once the Soviets got the nuclear arsenal Stalin had sought, they had to learn to live with the bomb – and all the dilemmas that came…

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Podvig: The value of New START is largely that it keeps the lines of communication open and it is the place for dialogue

(WVTF Radio/NPR) When President-elect Joe Biden is sworn into office next month, he will have to deal with some very urgent business with Russian President Vladimir Putin. As NPR’s Lucian Kim…

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Hot off the Press, Colder in Scope: Russia’s Nuclear Deterrence Fundamentals 2020

(PONARS Eurasia Commentary) In a surprise move this past June, Moscow published its first-ever “Basic Principles of State Policy of the Russian Federation on Nuclear Deterrence.” The content core of…

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The Elusive Russian Nuclear Threshold

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) The role of nuclear weapons in Russia’s national security policy moved to the center of attention last year following the new U.S. Nuclear Posture Review, which…

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Escalation for De-Escalation? Hazy Nuclear-Weapon “Red Lines” Generate Russian Advantages

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) According to the U.S. Nuclear Posture Review (NPR), Russian nuclear strategy calls for the early use of nuclear weapons in the event of a conflict with NATO.…

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Podvig: I don’t think this system [Russia’s Avangard] brings any new capability that the existing weapons like ICBMs don’t have

(Daily Beast) The United States, Russia, and China all tested new super-fast “hypersonic” munitions in 2018, escalating a global competition for weaponry that can strike farther and harder than ever…

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Russian views on U.S. plans to withdraw from the INF Treaty

(WP) Despite Russian urgings, national security adviser John Bolton is insisting that the United States will withdraw from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF). The treaty prohibits all short-range and intermediate-range ground-launched missiles,…

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