Is Putin’s Popularity (Still) Real? A Cautionary Note on Using List Experiments to Measure Popularity in Authoritarian Regimes

Questions about Russian President Vladimir Putin’s popularity are inextricable from discussions about Russia’s war on Ukraine. The Russian government has expended great effort selling the war to the Russian population,…

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Russia may be about to invade Ukraine. Russians don’t want it to.

(Washington Post/Monkey Cage) The White House just warned that there is a “distinct possibility” that Russia will invade Ukraine in a “very swift time frame.” More than 100,000 Russian troops are now massed near…

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Electoral Manipulation and Regime Support: Survey Evidence from Russia

Does electoral fraud stabilize authoritarian rule or undermine it? The answer to this question rests in part on how voters evaluate regime candidates who engage in fraud. Using a survey…

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Getting the opposition together: protest coordination in authoritarian regimes

(Post-Soviet Affairs | By David Armstrong, Ora John Reuter, and Graeme Robertson) Abstract: It is widely recognized that unified oppositions present a bigger threat to dictators than divided oppositions. In this paper,…

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The most significant political science studies on Russia in 2015-2017

(HSE) Economic and political commentator Boris Grozovsky compiled a list of the most significant political science scholarship on Russia in 2015-2017. Numerous PONARS Eurasia members were among the authors listed (Vladimir Gelman, Graham…

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How Likely Is Russian Democratization and Reform?

I just got back from a great conference at the University of Helsinki and thought I’d share some of the most striking research findings presented there. Celebrating the conclusion of…

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The Origins of Dominant Parties: Building Authoritarian Institutions in Post-Soviet Russia [NEW BOOK]

In many autocracies, regime leaders share power with a ruling party, which can help generate popular support and reduce conflict among key elites. Such ruling parties are often called dominant…

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How Kremlin Efforts to Control the Regions May Be Backfiring

(PONARS Policy Memo) In the 1990s and early 2000s, much of Russian politics revolved around relations between the Kremlin and regional elites. As Putin recentralized federal authority over the course of…

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2016 State Duma Elections: United Russia after 15 Years

(RAD) Abstract: For 15 years, United Russia has been the primary electoral vehicle of the Kremlin, and it won a landslide victory in the 2016 State Duma elections. United Russia’s dominant…

Is Putin’s Popularity Real?

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) Vladimir Putin has managed to achieve and maintain strikingly high public approval ratings throughout his time as president and prime minister of Russia. Kremlin spin doctors…

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Is Putin’s Popularity (Still) Real? A Cautionary Note on Using List Experiments to Measure Popularity in Authoritarian Regimes

Russia may be about to invade Ukraine. Russians don’t want it to.

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Getting the opposition together: protest coordination in authoritarian regimes

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How Likely Is Russian Democratization and Reform?

The Origins of Dominant Parties: Building Authoritarian Institutions in Post-Soviet Russia [NEW BOOK]

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2016 State Duma Elections: United Russia after 15 Years

Is Putin’s Popularity Real?

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