Russia 18 - PONARS Eurasia

Authoritarian Rallying as Reputational Cascade? Evidence from Putin’s Popularity Surge after Crimea

(American Political Science Review) When international conflict causes an authoritarian leader’s popularity to soar, extant theories lead us to treat such “rallying” as sincere preference change, the product of surging…

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Not So Traditional After All? The Russian Orthodox Church’s Failure as a “Moral Norm Entrepreneur”

“Traditional values” is a key trope in the conservative rhetoric dominant in Russian political and social discourse since Putin’s return to the presidency in 2012. The Russian Orthodox Church (ROC)…

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Russia’s Military Interventions: Patterns, Drivers, and Signposts

(RAND Corporation) Moscow’s use of its military abroad in recent years has radically reshaped perceptions of Russia as an international actor. With the 2014 annexation of Crimea, the invasion of…

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Latest parliamentary win by Putin’s United Russia has been years in the manufacturing

(The Conversation) President Vladimir Putin’s ruling United Russia party defied economic concerns and a recent slump in support to retain a parliamentary majority – to the surprise of almost no one. The…

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Russia’s Foreign Military Basing Strategy

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) In December 2020, news broke that Russia had signed an agreement with Sudan to build a naval base on the Red Sea. Given the refurbishment of…

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How the “Escalation Strategy” Evolved in Russia’s Security Policy

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) The “escalation strategy” has been a constant element in Russia’s international behavior for the last twenty years. Stemming from the well-known “escalation for de-escalation” principle that…

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Forever Together? Relations Between Moscow and Minsk After the Belarusian Revolution of 2020

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) The Belarusian Revolution was a stress test for Belarus-Russia relations. The domestic political crisis that followed the rigged presidential elections of 2020 weakened the Minsk regime…

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Why Russia Is Unlikely to Use Zapad-2021 to Intervene Militarily in European Countries

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) The last time Russia and Belarus teamed up to hold a large-scale strategic command-and-staff military exercise, a number of international media outlets pondered whether it might…

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Karabakh After the 44-Day War: Russian Peacekeepers and Patterns

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) After the September-November war of 2020, Azerbaijan liberated its seven occupied territories and established rule over Karabakh. A significant share of that region went under the…

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Expectations for Russia’s September Parliamentary Elections

PONARS Eurasia Commentary by Maria Lipman and Nikolay Petrov with Vladimir Gel’man, Grigorii Golosov, Ben Noble, Gleb Pavlovsky, Andrey Pertsev, Ekaterina Schulmann, and Denis Volkov. Although the experts interviewed here…

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Russia

Authoritarian Rallying as Reputational Cascade? Evidence from Putin’s Popularity Surge after Crimea

Not So Traditional After All? The Russian Orthodox Church’s Failure as a “Moral Norm Entrepreneur”

Russia’s Military Interventions: Patterns, Drivers, and Signposts

Latest parliamentary win by Putin’s United Russia has been years in the manufacturing

Russia’s Foreign Military Basing Strategy

How the “Escalation Strategy” Evolved in Russia’s Security Policy

Forever Together? Relations Between Moscow and Minsk After the Belarusian Revolution of 2020

Why Russia Is Unlikely to Use Zapad-2021 to Intervene Militarily in European Countries

Karabakh After the 44-Day War: Russian Peacekeepers and Patterns

Expectations for Russia’s September Parliamentary Elections