Dueling for the Soul of Russia
(Transitions) Alexei Navalny’s return to Moscow on 17 January is a pivotal moment in Russian history. His decision to go home after five months recuperating in Berlin was an act of…
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Rutland
8 posts
Belarus on a Knife’s Edge
(TOL) The demonstrations in Belarus protesting the fraudulent 9 August elections are continuing into their second week, with no signs of abating. Yesterday, 16 August, saw dueling meetings of pro-…
Do Black Lives Matter in Russia?
(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) This memorandum reviews Russian state media and civil society responses to the Black Lives Matter (BLM) movement. The varying reactions cast an interesting light on how…
History Matters
(TOL) Amid the pandemic, Russia, China, and others find time to debate the timing of the beginning and end of World War II and other details of years long past. The…
Russia’s policy in the “frozen conflicts” of the post-soviet space: from ethno-politics to geopolitics
(Caucasus Survey) Abstract: The article analyzes the evolution of Russia’s policy in secessionist conflicts in the post-Soviet space in 1991–2018. The authors differentiate the patterns of Russian policy between the…
The 2020 Oil Crash: Is Russia Still An Energy Superpower?
(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) This month saw the dramatic outbreak of an oil price war launched by Saudi Arabia that caused the price of oil to plunge from $55 to $25…
Russia’s Economic Prospects: The Perils of a Petrostate
(RAD) Russia is an ailing petrostate, but it is not clear if it is failing. It faces three sources of instability: shifts in international energy markets, the challenge of climate change,…
Putin’s Y2024 Problem
(NYU Jordan Center) The Achilles Heel of all authoritarian regimes is the question of succession: what happens when the incumbent ruler leaves office. Dictators face a dilemma: pick a successor too…