South Caucasus 6 - PONARS Eurasia

All Quiet on the Karabagh Front?

The present state of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict over Nagorno Karabagh and the surrounding territories can be simultaneously assessed in three completely different tones: hopeful, alarmist, and cynically bored. A flurry…

Can Russia Win the Ideological Battle in Georgia?

Georgia has been one of the most vocally independent-minded countries among the Soviet Union’s successor states. As Georgia’s ambitions to draw closer to Europe and the transatlantic community have grown,…

An End to Russian Military Bases in Georgia?: The Implications of Past Military Withdrawals

The Russian military presence in the South Caucasus continues to remain a challenge for the newly independent states of the region. Russia’s policy towards the South Caucasus has undergone significant…

Energizing the Western Response to Democratic Setbacks in Kyrgyzstan, Azerbaijan, Armenia, and Georgia

The most recent elections in the three states of the South Caucasus and in Kyrgyzstan have all represented strong setbacks for the development of democracy. While the specific situations are…

Social Transformations in Post-Soviet Nagorno Karabakh: Motivations for Migration

In this memo I compare Soviet and post-Soviet migration from Nagorno Karabakh, describe how people migrated and for what reasons, and analyze the pressures people from the region faced after…

The Evolution of Georgian-Russian Sterotypes

The intensely emotional rhetoric and overreactions of Russians and Georgians in their recent war has puzzled outside observers. It is not that the belligerents lack rationality. Humans see the world through cultural…

Vae Victors: The Russian Army Pays for the Lessons of the Georgian War

The dust of the five-day August war between Russia and Georgia was partly settled by the end of the year – and was partly blown away by the hurricane winds…

The Withdrawal of Russian Military Bases from Georgia: Not Solving Anything

In March 2005 negotiations over a long-stalled issue of Russian military bases in Georgia sharply accelerated. In the end of May, the foreign ministers of the two countries signed a…

Uzbekistan: The Risks and Responsibilities of Democracy Promotion

July 23, 2012

A disturbing question about the massacre that occurred in Uzbekistan three days after President Bush praised “people power” in Tbilisi is whether the demonstration effect of the movements that unseated…

A Year After the Color Revolutions: Preemptive Authoritarianism and Challenges for Democratization in the Former Soviet Union

In 1989, citizens across central Europe went to the streets to bring down communist dictatorships and assert their right to live in free societies. More than a decade later, people…

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South Caucasus