Is Putin Having a Brezhnev Moment?
(Politico) Is Vladimir Putin having his Brezhnev moment? President Obama’s critics have made the Russian leader’s invasion of Crimea out to be a stroke of geopolitical genius, a move that…
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Ukraine
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Interview with Andrey Makarychev: Russia and the Post-1991 International Order
Eric Pardo Sauvageot (EPS): Most observers are appalled at the course of events in Ukraine at the time of this interview: how far do you think Russia is ready to…
What Doesn’t Kill Ukraine
(Foreign Policy) (By Maria Popova and Oxana Shevel) If it survives the current crisis in one piece, Kiev will have a new lease on its democratic future. Ukraine's territorial integrity…
Russia’s Black Sea Fleet
The crisis in Ukraine has highlighted the importance of Russia’s Black Sea Fleet. I’ve written about the fleet in the past, but it may be worthwhile to provide an update,…
Gorenburg: War Would Create Long-Term Instability on Russia’s Immediate Border
(Washington Post) The military forces that Russian President Vladimir Putin has threatened to use “as a last resort” in eastern Ukraine are in the early stages of a major, seven-year…
Russia Puts Itself in Peril by Dismembering Ukraine
(Eurasia Daily Monitor) One unique feature of the still surging crisis in Ukraine is the intensity of high-level communications between the key parties to it—which should have eliminated the possibility…
Marten: Russia Didn’t Need Military Action to Have Influence in Crimea Region
(Forbes Interview) Q: Should the US have seen this crisis coming? A: Nobody could see this coming because Putin took a high-risk action with a low payoff. It’s not typical…
Why Crimea Might be Worse Off Under Russian Rule
Next week, if the March 16 referendum on Crimea’s status takes place, the hypothetical scenario of Crimea’s separation from Ukraine might well come closer to becoming reality. Much of the…
Three Scenarios for Ukraine
In two weeks Ukraine has gone through two major shocks. The Ukrainian revolution was one of the most violent transitions to date, and not just in the post-Soviet space. And…
Maps of Russian and Ukrainian Military Forces
Here’s a useful map of the locations of Ukrainian military bases (as of 2008) and Russian forces located near Ukraine’s borders. It’s drawn from a new Russian language blog, and…