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PONARS Eurasia
PONARS Eurasia
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  • Commentary | Комментарии

РЕГИОНАЛЬНЫЙ КОНТЕКСТ ВЫБОРОВ В ГРУЗИИ: ПРЕДВАРИТЕЛЬНЫЙ АНАЛИЗ

  • October 5, 2012
  • Sergey Minasyan

Результаты парламентских выборов в Грузии для всех оказались неожиданными. Практически никто, кроме, естественно, самих апологетов победившей «Грузинской мечты» Бидзины Иванишвили, не ожидал столь безоговорочной победы оппозиции. Впрочем, главной ошибкой большинства экспертов, отслеживающих предвыборную динамику в Грузии, явилась не недооценка электоральных предпочтений грузинских избирателей. Еще за несколько месяцев до выборов 1 октября практически всем было ясно, что Саакашвили заметно «сдает» оппозиционному блоку, особенно в столице, и без административно-силового ресурса ему не победить «чисто» в этих выборах. Главной проблемой для экспертов и комментаторов стала существенная переоценка потенциала именно этого самого административного ресурса, который в ходе выборов оказался вдруг недееспособным. […]

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Sergey Minasyan
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