Russia’s Military Interventions: Patterns, Drivers, and Signposts

(RAND Corporation) Moscow’s use of its military abroad in recent years has radically reshaped perceptions of Russia as an international actor. With the 2014 annexation of Crimea, the invasion of…

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Expanding the Scope for Statecraft in U.S. Russia Policy

(War on the Rocks) The Biden administration has its sights set on a June summit with Russia. Given the new lows plowed in the bilateral relationship — so low that…

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Strategic Sderzhivanie: Understanding Contemporary Russian Approaches to “Deterrence”

(Marshall Center) Executive Summary: There is a mismatch between the Western concept of deterrence and the Russian concept of sderzhivanie, and particularly strategic sderzhivanie. Strategic sderzhivanie encompasses the Western concepts…

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A New Approach to Conventional Arms Control in Europe

(RAND Research Report) Over 30 years after the end of the Cold War, military tensions have returned to Europe. Both the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and Russia are boosting their…

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Understanding Russia’s Intervention in Syria

(Rand) Russia’s 2015 military intervention in Syria’s civil war took many by surprise and raised questions about the potential for similar actions in other conflicts outside of post-Soviet Eurasia. The authors…

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Charap: When the US and Russia work together, they can accomplish things no two other countries can

(NYTimes) he strangest Russian political scandal so far this year — a year that hasn’t lacked for them — revolves around a Belarusian escort named Anastasia Vashukevich, who goes by the…

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How Changing Ukrainian Society Impacts the Chances for Peace | Charap, Giuliano, Alexseev (Part 1 of 2)

Last month a major battle broke out between Russian-backed insurgents and Ukrainian forces in the town of Avdiivka in Ukraine. Alongside the return of such violence in the Donbas, Ukrainian…

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Russia and China: A New Model of Great-Power Relations

(IISS) The Ukraine crisis and the downturn in Russia–West relations that came in its wake have compelled Russia to turn decisively towards China. Deprived of other options, Moscow has found…

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The US Election and the Ukraine Connection

(PS) (Co-authored by Timothy J. Colton) Donald Trump has officially been inaugurated as US president, but questions about Russia’s interference in the election will not go away. Yet one key…

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Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia [New Book]

(Co-authored by Samuel Charap and Timothy J. Colton) Disorder erupted in Ukraine in 2014, involving the overthrow of a sitting government, the Russian annexation of the Crimean peninsula, and a violent insurrection,…

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