Hale 2 - PONARS Eurasia

Russia’s referendum could keep Vladimir Putin in power until 2036. What do high-ranking Russians think?

(Monkey Cage) Russians vote today on constitutional amendments that would allow President Vladimir Putin to remain in office until the year 2036, thanks to changes to Russia’s presidential term limits. Putin recently justified these reforms as necessary…

View

Ukraine’s citizens worry about covid-19. And they still have to worry about the war.

(Monkey Cage) In the covid-19 fight, at what point do people think the cure is worse than the disease? Our new survey evidence from Ukraine shows that for countries in conflict, economic fears…

View

Putin’s End Game?

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) Speaking to the lower house of parliament on March 10, Vladimir Putin seemingly affirmed what many have suspected all along: that he intends to stay in power…

View

Why are Republicans using Putin’s talking points? This study helps explain.

(Monkey Cage) (Co-authored with Olga Kamenchuk) During the impeachment hearings and trial of President Trump, former National Security Council official Fiona Hill and others accused Republican congressional leaders of adopting Russian President Vladimir…

View

Special Double Issue: The Foreign Policy Attitudes of Russian Elites, 1993–2016 [Lussier, Gel’man, Tucker, Hale]

(Post-Soviet Affairs) Although a vibrant literature on mass public opinion in Russia emerged in the wake of communism’s collapse in the USSR, the systematic investigation of elite attitudes using survey…

View

Crimea Come What May: Do Economic Sanctions Backfire Politically?

(Journal of Peace Research) (Co-authored by Henry Hale) Abstract: Do international economic sanctions backfire politically, resulting in increased rather than decreased domestic support for targeted state leaders? Backfire arguments are common,…

View

A surprising connection between civilizational identity and succession expectations among Russian elites

(Post-Soviet Affairs) We know from prior research that non-democratic regimes can become vulnerable when elites anticipate succession at the top, but we know little about what shapes these elites’ expectations. This…

View

How Should We Now Conceptualize Protest, Diffusion, and Regime Change?

(Journal of Conflict Resolution) Abstract: Brancati and Lucardi’s findings on the absence of “democracy protest” diffusion across borders raise important questions for the future of protest studies. I argue that…

View

Russia’s Regime-on-the-Move

(Russian Politics) (Co-authors: Maria Lipman and Nikolay Petrov) Abstract: Russia’s political system must be understood as inherently dynamic, with constant regime change being essential to how the regime operates and survives. This regime…

View

Finding the balance: Should Ukraine change its system of government?

(VOX Ukraine) Political scientists answer the fundamental question of whether Ukraine should change its system of government and shift the balance of power between the executive and the legislature. Over the past…

Contacts

DIGITAL RESOURCES

Knowledge Hub

RECOMMENDED

Misconceptions about Eastern Europe, the Caucasus, and Central Asia and Their Impact on Policy

Five Years into the War, Ukraine Is Showing Grittiness, Rebounding Confidence in War Fortunes

Russia’s Wartime Internet: A Contested Space with the Regime Still Predominant

Why Georgians Need to Take Hungarian Lessons

The ‘Don’t Lose Lukashenko’ Approach: Kyiv’s (Non-) Strategic Ambiguity Toward the Belarusian Opposition

PONARS Eurasia Podcast

Hale

Russia’s referendum could keep Vladimir Putin in power until 2036. What do high-ranking Russians think?

Ukraine’s citizens worry about covid-19. And they still have to worry about the war.

Putin’s End Game?

Why are Republicans using Putin’s talking points? This study helps explain.

Special Double Issue: The Foreign Policy Attitudes of Russian Elites, 1993–2016 [Lussier, Gel’man, Tucker, Hale]

Crimea Come What May: Do Economic Sanctions Backfire Politically?

A surprising connection between civilizational identity and succession expectations among Russian elites

How Should We Now Conceptualize Protest, Diffusion, and Regime Change?

Russia’s Regime-on-the-Move

Finding the balance: Should Ukraine change its system of government?