Hale 8 - PONARS Eurasia

New Working Paper: Explaining Moldova’s “Twitter Revolution that Wasn’t”

Explaining Moldova’s “Twitter Revolution that Wasn’t" by Henry E. Hale George Washington University Introduction In 2009, Moldova experienced a dramatic and violent political upheaval that ousted longtime president Vladimir Voronin’s…

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How Many Really Support a “Russia without Putin”?

How many people really support Russian protesters’ demands for a “Russia without Putin?” This was a rallying cry for many Russian citizens who poured into Moscow’s streets in late 2011…

Динамика правящего режима в России

«Чтобы начать борьбу за смену режима или присоединиться к ней на ранних этапах, элиты должны не только хотеть этого сами, по отдельности, но и должны быть уверены в том, что…

Why Do Political Systems Become Party Systems?

(Book Chapter) Subnational political units are growing in influence in national and international affairs, drawing increasing scholarly attention to politics beyond national capitals. In this book, leading Russian and Western political…

Interpreting the Color Revolutions and Prospects for Post-Soviet Democratization: Breaking the Cycles

The Orange Revolution in Ukraine, the Rose Revolution in Georgia, and the Tulip Revolution in Kyrgyzstan have been widely interpreted as democratic breakthroughs. This largely misses the most important point.…

The Duma Districts: Key to Putin’s Power

When politicians hit the campaign trail and Russians prepare to vote for a new parliament (the Duma), Western attention is invariably drawn to the familiar and colorful competition among parties seeking…

The Bellwether Battle for Bashkortostan (Rage Against the Machine)

On December 7, 2003, Russian voters in some regions will choose not only a parliament, but also a regional leader. For many citizens, the latter contests will mean much more than the…

Ethnofederalism: Lessons for Rebuilding Afghanistan, Preserving Pakistan, and Keeping Russia Stable

Ethnofederalism is a federal political system in which territorial governance units are explicitly designated as ethnic homelands. It has proven quite workable in multiethnic states from India to today’s Russia,…

Is Russian Nationalism on the Rise?

Recent developments in Russian politics have been widely interpreted as signaling a groundswell of public support for aggressive Russian nationalism. The story goes like this: Prime Minister (and now acting…

The State of Democratization in Russia in Light of the Elections

Now that Russia has entered the new millennium with a new leader and a new parliament, it is time to take stock of the democratization process in Russia. This memo…

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