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PONARS Eurasia
PONARS Eurasia
  • About
    • Contact
    • List of Members
    • Ukraine Experts
    • About Membership
    • Executive Committee
  • Policy Memos
    • List of Policy Memos
    • Submissions
  • Podcast
  • Online Academy
  • Events
    • Past Events
  • Recommended
  • Ukraine Experts
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RECOMMENDED
  • Illiberalism and Public Opinion Junctures in Russia’s War on Ukraine

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  • Policy Exchange Discussion & Memos: Guaranteeing Ukraine’s Long-Run Security (June 9)

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  • We want the war to end. But should calls for negotiating with Putin be taken seriously?

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  • Policy Briefs | BEAR Network-PONARS Eurasia Conference

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RSS PONARS Eurasia Podcast
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  • Is Russia Becoming More Soviet? [Lipman Series 2021] July 26, 2021
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  • The Evolution of Russia's Political Regime [Lipman Series 2021] June 21, 2021
    In this week's episode of the PONARS Eurasia Podcast, Maria Lipman chats with Grigory Golosov and Henry Hale about the evolution of Russia's political regime, and what to expect in the lead-up to September's Duma elections.
  • Volodymyr Zelensky: Year Two [Lipman Series 2021] May 24, 2021
    In this week's episode of the PONARS Eurasia Podcast, Maria Lipman chats with Sergiy Kudelia and Georgiy Kasianov about Ukrainian President Zelensky's second year in office, and how he has handled the political turbulence of the past year.
  • Recommended | Рекомендуем

The War and Reforms in Ukraine: Can It Cope with Both?

  • March 19, 2015
  • Arkady Moshes

(FIIA briefing paper) The military conflict in the eastern part of Ukraine is the main factor determining also the internal political situation in the country. On the one hand, as long as the conflict calls for national consolidation and strengthens the understanding that only a reformed Ukraine may hope to endure, the war should drive the transformation. On the other hand, the conflict poses a major impediment to the changes, not only because it is a drain on resources, but even more so because it tempts Ukraine to blame its own inaction on "objective difficulties”.

A number of conditions currently favour the reforms proceeding as planned. Ukraine enjoys a sizeable pro-reform majority in the parliament, and the population is still largely supportive of the government. The influence of the anti-reform opposition is smaller than ever. The Association Agreement with the EU, and the IMF programme are in place to serve as powerful vehicles of transformation.

However, progress to date has been limited. The necessary change is certainly going to be painful for the population, which partly explains the reluctance to undertake radical steps. Resistance from the country’s oligarchs and within the extremely corrupt environment as a whole is apparent, to which a lack of experience can be added. Any further delay will threaten to destroy the existing confidence that has been bolstered among the people.

In this situation Western assistance for the reforms in Ukraine will become crucial. But it will make a difference only if strict conditionality is applied. […]

See the full report © The Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)

Arkady Moshes
Website | + posts
Director of the EU's Eastern Neighbourhood and Russia Programme

Affiliation

Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)

Links

Finnish Institute of International Affairs (Bio)

Expertise

Russia-EU Relations, Internal and Foreign Policy of Ukraine and Belarus
  • Arkady Moshes
    https://www.ponarseurasia.org/author/arkady-moshes/
    Forever Together? Relations Between Moscow and Minsk After the Belarusian Revolution of 2020
  • Arkady Moshes
    https://www.ponarseurasia.org/author/arkady-moshes/
    All Quiet in Russian-Belarusian Relations
  • Arkady Moshes
    https://www.ponarseurasia.org/author/arkady-moshes/
    A Partnership Not in the Making: Ukrainian-Belarusian Relations After the Euromaidan
Related Topics
  • Moshes
  • Russia
  • Ukraine
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