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PONARS Eurasia 25 Oct 2019
(Background Briefing with Ian Masters) A discussion with Lisa Graves, Keith Darden, and Katherine Hite on "a phony rebellion for the pleasure of a leader demanding devotion; how rudy giuliani became manafort's crooked replacement; turmoil in the south from chile to haiti, from ecuador to bolivia." Keith Darden: "This presidency has established ties and rewarded non-democratic leaders." "That's...
PONARS Eurasia 25 Oct 2019
(Roll Call) On June 6, Russian-allied forces in Ukraine’s eastern Donbass region fired a volley of artillery shells on Ukrainian soldiers based in a rural area, even though Moscow had signed a ceasefire agreement the day before.  Two young Ukrainian soldiers — 28-year-old Dmytro Pryhlo and 23-year-old Maksym Oleksiuk — were killed in their dugout by that shelling in the settlement of...
Konstantin Sonin 22 Oct 2019
(BFI Working Paper | Co-authored with Austin Wright) Information operations are considered a central element of modern warfare, yet there remains little, if any, systematic evidence of their effectiveness. Using a geographic quasi-experiment conducted during Operation Enduring Freedom in Afghanistan, we demonstrate that civilians exposed to the government’s information campaign resulted in...
Tags: Sonin
Pavel Baev 22 Oct 2019
(EDM) The Grom 2019 exercise of Russian strategic forces last week (October 15–17) received limited media attention, which was overwhelmed by the escalation of the Syrian calamity (see EDM, October 17) and the continuation of the Brexit drama. But this year’s Grom maneuvers were, in fact, unprecedented in both their scale and intensity. Official information is deliberately imprecise....
Tags: Baev, Russia
Ora John Reuter 21 Oct 2019
(Post-Soviet Affairs | By David Armstrong, Ora John Reuter, and Graeme Robertson) Abstract: It is widely recognized that unified oppositions present a bigger threat to dictators than divided oppositions. In this paper, we use micro-level data on opposition protests in Putin-era Russia to examine the factors that facilitate co-operation among different opposition forces. In particular,...
Marlene Laruelle 17 Oct 2019
(Andrea Mitchell Center Podcast) Interviewer: MATTHEW BERKMAN. The United States, and Western democracies more generally, currently view Russia through the lens of their own internal crises, argues MARLENE LARUELLE, expert on Russian politics and author of Understanding Russia: The Challenges of Transformation. In her discussion with political scientists and Mitchell...

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