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PONARS Eurasia
PONARS Eurasia
  • About
    • Contact
    • Membership
      • All Members
      • Core Members
      • Collegium Members
      • Associate Members
      • About Membership
    • Ukraine Experts
    • Executive Committee
  • Policy Memos
    • List of Policy Memos
    • Submissions
  • Podcasts
  • Online Academy
  • Events
    • Past Events
  • Recommended
  • Ukraine Experts
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RECOMMENDED
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RSS PONARS Eurasia Podcast
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  • Is Russia Becoming More Soviet? [Lipman Series 2021] July 26, 2021
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  • The Evolution of Russia's Political Regime [Lipman Series 2021] June 21, 2021
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  • Volodymyr Zelensky: Year Two [Lipman Series 2021] May 24, 2021
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  • Commentary | Комментарии

New Policy Memo: A New Wave of Russian Nationalism? What Really Changed in Public Opinion after Crimea

  • May 11, 2015
  • Henry Hale

(Co-authored with Mikhail Alexseev) How did the dramatic events of 2014, including the annexation of Crimea and the onset of violent armed conflict in eastern Ukraine, transform the opinion of Russians regarding their ethnic identity, nation, and state? Some have seen these events as sparking a dramatic upsurge in xenophobia and Russian nationalism, marking a new chapter in Russian identity politics. Others have questioned how much change has actually taken place. Evidence from two nationally representative surveys, one taken in May 2013 and the other in November 2014, indicates that what Russia experienced is much better characterized as a “rally ’round the leader” effect than as an upsurge in nationalism per se. In part, this is because Russian nationalism was already strong before the crisis in Ukraine emerged, so current events tapped into preexisting sentiment more than transformed it (with the exception of an evident increase in negative attitudes toward Ukrainians). What did change substantially, however, was the level of support for Vladimir Putin, which surged to nearly half again its May 2013 level. At the same time, concerns about economic and social problems deepened. Together, these findings indicate the main effect of the 2014 events on public opinion was to create a “rallying effect” around Putin personally but not to transform mass consciousness in a way that is likely to benefit the Kremlin in the long or even medium run.

Read More | PDF

Related Topics
  • Alexseev
  • Hale
  • Russia
Previous Article
  • Policy Memos | Аналитика

A New Wave of Russian Nationalism? What Really Changed in Public Opinion after Crimea (co-authored)

  • May 11, 2015
  • Henry Hale
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Next Article
  • In the News | Hовости

Стоит ли мешать современную политику и историю?

  • May 11, 2015
  • Samuel Greene
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Отравление оппозиционеров в России превратилось в регулярную практику

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